Wolf Blitzer delivers the most important breaking news and political, international, and national security stories of the day. Tune to The Situation Room weekdays 5-7pm ET on CNN.
By Wolf Blitzer, CNN
(CNN) – If I were Mitt Romney, I’d be worried about recent developments that could present serious problems in his race for the Republican presidential nomination.
If I were Newt Gingrich, I’d be encouraged by those same developments.
Herman Cain reportedly has told his senior staff he’s “reassessing” his race for the White House in the aftermath of the latest allegations that he had a 13-year affair with a Georgia woman. For now, Cain is continuing his campaign, but if he were to drop out, I suspect few of his supporters would move over to Romney. Many would probably support Gingrich.
That would be a boost for the former House speaker in Iowa, where Cain has had significant support.
Romney has been doing exceptionally well in New Hampshire, where he has a home. He was governor of neighboring Massachusetts. But Gingrich has been moving up in the polls in New Hampshire recently.
What could seriously hurt Romney in New Hampshire is Jon Huntsman. The former Utah governor has put all his eggs in the New Hampshire basket. His poll numbers recently have moved up in that state to nearly 10%.
I suspect that Huntsman’s supporters in New Hampshire would be more likely to vote for Romney than Gingrich.
If it’s a close race in New Hampshire between Romney and Gingrich, the 10% that Huntsman might get could prove to be the difference in allowing Gingrich to carry the state.
And like in Iowa, the Cain supporters in New Hampshire could also help Gingrich if their candidate were to drop out.
In short, I suspect Romney would love to see Cain, Rick Santorum and Michele Bachmann remain in the race. They potentially take votes away from Gingrich by dividing up the conservative tea party activists.
On the other hand, Romney would love to see Huntsman drop out, but his withdrawal doesn’t look likely before the ballots are counted in New Hampshire.
Follow Wolf Blitzer on Twitter: @WolfBlitzerCNN
RELATED STORY: Cain 'reassessing' campaign after affair allegation
"Why doesn't the former AIPAC lobbyist and Jerusalem Post editor z.ionist water-carrier mention the "no entangling alliances" constitutionalist Ron Paul?"
Asking the question is answering it. Special foreign interests, baby, special foreign interests, all it is...move along now, nothing to see here.
I cant believe that anyone ever thought Cain would go this far. I agree that Newt will get a little bump but this will be very limited, the party isn't enamored by Newt he is just the only one left to pick for the team. If Cain throws his limited support to one of the better candidates, Santorum ?????
I'm slightly confused, while it does make a lot of sense that current Cain supporters would go to Newt if he dropped out, I thought the polls were indicating that the anti-romney conservatives were leaving Cain already and going to Newt. Mind you these are the ones who jumped on the Bachmann Bandwagon, had a love a affair with a Texan, then dumped the Texan for good ol' Herman Cain, and now they are going to Newt Gingrich. Such a fluid group of supporters, I'm beginning to wonder who the next Conservative-of-the-Day will be... Santorum?
Ron Paul is almost always right, and thus he doesn't get front-page coverage.
When everyone else is wrong or given bad publicity (affairs, scandals, corporatism, flip-flopping), you get all the attention.
It's like The Media loves the bad guys - and when the good guys have the best arguments, they're ignored.
Ron Paul 2012, the people can still vote.
Why won't CNN EVER mention R O N P A U L ?? I can't wait for the voting in Iowa to begin. How do you not mention THE WINNER!!
Wait for it folks it'll be magic!!
Hope most of you good people here agree that Ron Paul is the best candidate for office. If you do not agree i would like to invite you to go to his website and read his articles and watch his videos on restoring america. As you might have noticed all of the other candidates flip flop about important issues for the votes of the people. I would like to ask if not beg you to consider Ron Paul as a possible choice. Chose someone who does not flip flop with Americas future. Ron Paul 2012 please
You're right, he doesn't flip flop, Fortunately I don't agree with policies and I'm sick of people saying he's the best thing since peanut butter & jelly sandwiches. For instance, his answer for everything is get rid of this, get rid of that, Talks about ending student loans. What he means is ending scholarships, financial aid, etc. Government money keeps tuition low and provides opportunities to low income individuals. He states this will lower costs for everyone. BS! This is why tuition rates have skyrocketed, schools and universities are receiving less money from state and federal government and they are passing the costs on to the students. This is just one of many examples of how his policies will work. Only the rich will be able to afford to live in America. I guess this is his and your highest hope.
If Ron Paul is not the Republican candidate, there will be four more years of Obama.
There is a very real likelihood that Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucus. Your exclusion of Ron Paul in your analysis is reprehensible. There is no journalistic integrity left in America.
Gingrich not only has baggage, but he has a vision for our country that you don't want. Check out the book Creating A New Civilization, which was highly recommended by Newt and for which he wrote the foreword. This book recommends getting rid of the constitution and necessarily removing the sovereignity from our country. This man is dangerous.
Let's eliminate the liars, the flip-floppers, the globalists and the morally berefit and finally elect a politician with honesty, vision and solutions.
Vote Ron Paul 2012
People are upset about Paul being ignored? What about Buddy Roemer? I saw him on the Colbert Report and he seems to be a credible candidate to me, I'd like to see how he would perform in the debates if they only would let him participate.
My thoughts are that Herman Cain in the beginning when the other accures stepped onto the scene, he had every opportunity to speak publically or address it all in an article of a news-paper and/or magazine.
Why did he come forward on this accuser? Had he did upfront, much could have been avoided. When building a relationship with someone you care about, albeit his constituents since he wants to be the president ot the United States–this is serious. He is out promoting a book-by all means. I have not read the book, honestly I do not know or if I will. This could have been the perfect chance for him to share with his constituents more of his journey leading to the White House.
There are too many questions to be answered from Mr. Cain.
As I said about Mrs. M. Bauchmann, she should not withdrawl from the race and the same for Mr. Cain. With that said, if he continues to run the race to the White House–speak to your constituents it is not for your attorney. There are some things your attorney can do, but again in this case–he should speak for himself.
Another thing that I do not understand, how is it that Republicans are wanting to send Herman Cain to the White House when they are barely willing to work with our current president in the White House. Make no mistake, I am a strong supporter of our President.
the 'blitzmeme' is born.
Hey Blitz, can you practice saying 'President Paul'?
Best thing that could happen to this country.
VOTE RON PAUL 2012
Ron Paul all the way,simply the best option and the only one who can beat Obama.
Please go back to your planet!!!
Quite a few people here talk about RON PAUL but, he cannot bring the country into the future!
Ron Paul formed his way of thinking in the 50 / 60 / 70 and sort of stayed there. Just as one would imagined the “good old days” to have been – very simple Norman Rockwell style (Of cause they were hard times for “some”! But that his son would deny and that makes me wonder how he was raised by RON sitting around the kitchen table and talking!).
Today there are no simple solutions anymore. Bush was a good example of what “simple” means and the devastating results of it. It is an insult of the GOP/TP to present the voter with this group of unqualified “candidates”! The “OLD” ones had their try and accomplished “trickle down” except it turned by now into a long drought at the bottom! The “NEW” ones are a bit far out and utterly unqualified – to put it kindly. So, like it or not, real intelligence, looking ahead and understanding what short / long term effect actions have – young, flexible, smarts and very good will is what is needed for this very complicated, very demanding job. That is what we have in President Obama (as a bonus he is charming, has class and, at least that the “rights” should admit, has real family-values!). If we now replace the “pledges” in the House and Senate, we could lock fairly confident into the future!
Wolf Blitzer has made it obvious on several occasions that he does not like Ron Paul. Mr. Blitzer's body language says it loud and clear. No mention of Ron Paul by Mr. Blitzer does not surprise me at all. As for Cain? He was a phony from the start. I hope he sold a lot of books and made a good dime off of those who supported him. He'll need it for his retirement.
AIPAC owns the networks they have to obey their masters.
Vote Ron Paul 2012 or nothing.
the more you ignore ron paul, the more you fire up his supporters. statist establishment stooges are in for a big surprise come voting time!
If I were any of them I would be worried about Ron Paul. Honest, principles. Why is there so little coverage of a man who is loyal to our constitution, the document that the federal government is supposed to adhere to?
Funny!!!! My comment was denied until i didnt use the name R#$ P$#%. nice job guys.... what are you so afraid of? R%$ P%$# is obviously a threat to the corporo stato fascism we have in place at current.
same here more control from the media. Trying to spread his name is a little difficult when they dont let you. this makes me wanna go all out even more R&% P%$# 2012!!!
Huntsman??? Really Wolf? Looks like you are obeying your corporate masters.%#$ &%$* will take second in NH. Cain was never really a contender. Id love to see a &$%#l / Kucinich ticket. Talk about a protest vote!! then we could watch the one party state that masquerades as a two party state jump around like they were trying to catch a moon bat. Is their a fundamental difference between Romney and Obama....I dare say NO
Wow....Wolf you really can't hide your true colors anymore ( and there not red, white and blue). Blitzer is just another gatekeeper of the establishment.
Huntsman??? Really Wolf? Looks like you are obeying your corporate masters. Ron Paul will take second in NH. Cain was never really a contender. Id love to see a Paul / Kucinich ticket. Talk about a protest vote!! then we could watch the one party state that masquerades as a two party state jump around like they were trying to catch a moon bat. Is their a fundamental difference between Romney and Obama....I dare say NO
CNN – you are a joke. No mention of Ron Paul yet again ... shame on you.
American Israel Public Affairs Committee AIPAC owns the networks they have to obey their masters.
Vote Ron Paul 2012 or nothing.
Paul deserves a mention in the calculus for Cain's supporters. Their bases draw from the same anti-establishment independent group of voters. Even in polls in Iowa and New Hampshire where Paul averages 14%, he absolutely dominates amongst independents and could win either contest in a three way race with just 15% of self-identified Republicans.
'Blitz'; I don't really think it matters if Cain drops out at this point. He will lose his support anyways. However, I agree with you that Romney is not likely to pick up many of Cain's former supporters. Like Ron Paul, Romney has his core support and that is all he is likely to get.
Huntsman will not pick up many Tea Party votes either due to him being labelled a RINO due to his working under Obama (which is too bad since Huntsman is by far the best candidate overall).
Therefore, I agree with you again: Gingrich will likely pick up most of Cain's former supporters.
Funny you say that as Ron Paul's numbers are slowly rising. People are waking up to the corruption of the government and the constant push to reduce our liberties because we are not safe enough yet.
As I was watching your program this morning, I was becoming more and more irritated with the hoopla about Herman Cain and a possible affair in the past. Why don't we focus on the real issues in this election, ie the economy, education, immigration, health care, rather than who a particular candidate has or has not slept with in the past. That has absolutely no consequence one way or the other, in my opinion, on whether someone is qualified to be President of this great country or for any political office. If that were the case, we would have very few choices indeed. If the Republican primary were held tomorrow I honestly do not have a clue who I would vote for. Unfortunately it would be more a decision as to who I don't want rather than who I do. My husband and I would love to see a legitimate 3rd party candidate come on the scene. I think the media is now and always has been focused on the wrong issues. The real issues should be the focus, not on someone's personal life and who they have or have not committed infidelity with.
Dear Mr. Blitzerr and CNN: I have been watching your show, The Situaation Room with Jack this week. You and CNN can forget about Mr. Cain because there have been too many big guns being brougt to bear on him. There has been no PROOF of any kind for you nor Gloria. But he has been hounded out, so he is gone. The other main point that I would like to bring up is your extreme efforts to avoid saying the words "FICA" tax. Or "Social security". Why are you and all of your cohorts doing that? Because you know and CNN knows that the President never should have cut back the FICA tax at all. You certainly know that every dollar that was stolen from Social Security via the reduced FICA tax is going to show up in the future as another "tax increase", when you and CNN knows that is not the case. That increase will simply be restored to what it was. NO tax increase, which I know that you and CNN will try to get a ringer around the neck of the Republicans! You and CNN just lost some status at this point, but it will hurt more soon. Without the propfer funding, all of the senior citizens and all of the people on medicare will know that they are being goated just to help the President and his Democratic friends. You appear to be snapping your own neck by trying not to use the proper words-"FICA." tax and "Social Security funding". Have you sunk so low that you can't even say the truth anymore?
gingrich is unelectable! i'd vote for obama before i'd vote that pompous windbag.
:) then there is hope looks like he is moving up.
How about that Ron Paul guy huh? Not Flip Flopper, Not a womanizer, not a war monger... Nice piece Blitz! You forgot our main man!
PLAYBOY! PLAYBOY! PLAYBOY! PLAYBOY! There is nothing less attractive about older large women then younger large women. I want to see what Cain can't keep his hands off of. If Playboy really is art and not porn, they should be capable of presenting it with beauty. We had Monica and she was certainly no supermodel. This is newsworthly. Isn't Playboy supposed to be journalistic?
The bedroom is private? Is there any country in the entire world where that is true of persons running for office? Just the statement of the bedroom being off limits was enough to squash Cain. Not that it mattered, he never stood a shot. He does not present himself in a way that gives the impression that he is culturally educated. It seems reasonable that the GOP is behind all of this because all he has been doing is spilting the poll votes and that is bad for fundraising.
Ron Paul is the real front runner. Blitz should walk away with herman cain and go open a pizza place together. Obama would love to run against the Newt but he dreads running against a populist like Ron Paul.
Don't you Ron Paul people feel a little stupid, taking up 3/4 of the blogs for RP who will never be anything more than he is?. I think that should be RIP. He really needs to retire, give it up, go home ect. ect. I'm a Liberal and I would love to see him win the primary, but it ain't gonna happen.
Paul is to extreme his constitutionalists approach to everything is not going to solve the problems of the USA. He looks at the US as being an island on its own and not realizing the complexity of the world in economics nor safety. While he has a few good points his stick your head in the sand approach will not be good for America.
Turn out the lights.........the parties over.
I wish Donal Trump and Sara Palin should jump in. They could be a good pair more more jokes.
Why not mention Ron Paul? At the very least you could explain why you don't acknowledge him. It certainly has nothing to do with his poll numbers.
I think Gingrich might pull off being the nominee. It would be interesting to see a debate between Obama and him. Romney is my choice. I think he is a smart man when it comes to the economy.
We are sick of the media black out on Ron Paul.
This is all irrelevant because every last one of the Republican contenders is a buffoon unsuited for the office of president. Blitz is smart enough to understand that. (P.S. Dear CNN moderators – "hemp" is not a naughty word.)
Wow, how many times do we have to read the whining about Ron Paul from his fanboys? Don't get me wrong – I like Ron Paul's directness and honesty even if I don't always agree with him. But it gets tiresome to read in the comment section of every political article one after another Ron Paul fans asking why he wasn't mentioned in the article! Does every article have to mention him? In two presidential campaigns he has never polled higher than 8%-12%. You want to blame the media for it, but meanwhile how many others have gone from media obscurity to front-runner status? Face the facts: the GOP voters don't want Paul and never will. If you want Paul to have a chance, convince him to exit the Republican party and run as a Libertarian or independent. The Tea Party derived from Paul's last campaign, but it has evolved into a reactionary theocratic sect that obviously is not supporting Paul.
Well he is polling in a statistical tie for 1st in Iowa and is in second for NH. Maybe that is why he should be mentioned? Herman Cain won ONE straw poll in Florida and he became the medias darling.
He is the only hope we have to stop this corrupt government from destroying our nation.
Ron Paul will win Iowa and then you will no longer be able to black him out.
Wolf will not give Ron Paul any mention. Wolf use to write the news for the Israel Org here in U.S. and a Ron Paul election would put an end to all the handouts to that organization. He won't bite the hand that feeds him.
Well I agree with your positions Blitzer, but I think immigration is going to absolutely kill Newt's campaign. The GOP isn't going to consider a rational discussion of immigration. It's going to keep coming up and every time it does, his support is going to erode. He fumbled the ball, bad.
I'm not sure where that leaves the GOP, probably with Romney.
I LOVE IT. HYPOCRITICAL REPUBLICANS who harp on and on about the sanctity of "family" and "family values" – and use that position to interfere in the lives of pregnant women and gays and lesbians.
Well, Mr. Cain – now you KNOW what it feels like to have somebody getting all up in your business! Not good, right?
Your attorney says this is not relevant? Well by making OUR private lives your business, your private life has rightfully become OUR business! So SNAP!
This is like Newt's people and the media saying all his baggage is known, its not he's been out of the public light for a long time when someone moves this into the front page lets see how good Newt looks .
Hey everybody! Ya know what, Herman will drop out this week, Newtster will rise for a little while until Americans remeber how much they don't like him It will boil down to Romney Therefore it is-OBAMA 2012–very likely guys!! GOP is terribly terribly UNSTABLE, and dismantling due to teabaggers. too bad so sad.
One of three things is going to happen:
1. Ron Paul doesn't get the nomination and runs as a third party candidate: The new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll suggests Ron Paul would win 18 percent as a third-party candidate running against Obama and Romney. Obama wins.
2. Ron Paul drops out: fervent and stubborn Ron Paul supporters stay home or write him in. Obama wins.
3. Ron Paul gets the GOP nomination: Ron Paul gets the following voters: (a. 2008 Obama voters who thought they were going to get 'Change', (b. 2008 Obama voters who voted to end the wars, (c. the VAST majority of the Independent vote, (d. the entire GOP voting block who dislikes Obama enough to vote for Ron Paul instead. (e. Ron Paul supporters coming out to vote in DROVES. Ron Paul wins.
4. Ron Paul does not have chance. It's my fantasy.
I love the third scenario 3 Ron Paul For ever !
As I said please go back to your planet and bring the ron paul with you, maybe he can win there
Bye Cain. Sorry to see you go. You were the Funniest of the clowns
The reason Ron Paul is not mentioned is because he is irrelevant. The reason Ron Paul is irrelevant is because he carries too much Libertarian baggage.
What is going on? For years I have watched Wolf Blitzer conduct himself with professional integrity, writing great articles and conducting countless fair and unbiased interviews, but that is not what has happened today. Today it is obvious that Ron Paul is intentionally excluded from this article and I am pretty sure Wolf Blitzer is intelligent enough that this is not an oversite. So what should Americans be thinking about our press? Many other journalists have followed suit and I guess it leaves me wondering who is calling the shots, and why? We need to ask ourselves what is happening in America.
When Cain drops out no one will care but CNN, who also hourly brought us the likes of Palin and now Gingrich. BUt not to worry, because now that CNN has fired fifty editors and reporters, all your news will be unreaserched and brought to you courtesy of Bubba and his handy iPhone.
Heal they selves, journalists. Cain was a loser from the very beginning, except in your reporting.
I give flying Cain 24 hours to say that he is "suspending" his campaign to protect his family. Anybody want a bet?
Could you be any more clear to the US people Wolf, that you and your network don't acknowledge Ron Paul? You just lost a fan.
Ron Paul is clearly the only one who can change the course of the country. Look around. All I can see with these media swayed presidential candidates is so much more of the same. It will take courage to change, but what the heck do we have to loose?
Make that 2 fans
Please. please, please give it up Ronnie and groupies. It its sickening and only turning people off more . No one wants to go back a hundred years and live like pioneers. I don't see the Paul family doing that. Seems like they are pretty high on the hog type of people in reality. Give us a break and give it up.
This is all irrelevant because every last one of the Republican contenders is a buffoon unsuited for the office of president. Blitz is smart enough to understand that.
That is not his call !! its the True American peoples call !!!
If Cain drops out the middle class will have no voice in the GOP. He was their only chance. All because Americans don't have the guts to put the media in their place and insist on letting them lead them around by the nose.
How are you going to ignore Ron Paul when he wins IA?
Why no mention of Ron Paul?
In my opinion Huntsman is the only person who stands a chance of beating Obama in the general but Republicans refuse to see the writing on the wall.
The only thing worse than a corrupt government that allows the rich to purchase legislative outcomes is a lazy or opinion oriented press. Leaving Paul out of this was inexcusable.
Come on Blitz - get over your obsession with women and womanizers. It's sickening.
funny how Ron Paul never makes the news in the manner that Romney, Cain and Gingrich do...
Asking what will happen if Herman Cain withdraws is like asking what happens if a tree fall in the woods. Doesn't matter no one there to hear it.
I hope Newt wins. There is no way he could beat Obama. There is no way women will vote for a man who traded in his cancer-stricken wife for a younger concubine. Period. How many women do you know that will let a home wrecker become First Lady? That's what I thought.
In the short run, Gingrich might spike.
But it is beyond illogical to argue that having a major candidate terminate their campaign because of personal misconduct would, in the long run, benefit Newt Gingrich – a man known as much as anything for his serial adultery and hypocricy relating to it.
To those of you who keep whining about Ron Paul's irrelevance: HE IS. The man is utterly unelectable, despite the constant panaoid protestations of his cult members. I think it's funny that Herman Cain gets skewered for his sexual misadventures while Newt gets a pass.
Funny how a candidate who has never wavered from his principles, is dedicated to a federal government who adheres to its constitution, and will realistically attempt to balance the budget and right this country is somehow unelectable.
How far this country has fallen when this is the case.
whether YOU think he is unelectable should hold no bearing as to how the news covers him. you can't use polls in a news story and then blatently ignore some of the poll results when you dont like them! thats not how this works!
he could be polling 45% in the general and you would STILL call him unelectable! hes been tied for FIRST in iowa in many polls, tied for 2nd in new hampshire in many, and in the ones used in wolf's article he places 3rd in both! WHAT DO YOU WANT FROM RON PAUL? WHAT WILL YOU NEED TO REALIZE HE IS BEING IGNORED?
and how can u call someone who repeatedly was ELECTED through a voting process involving citizens voting unelectable? MAKES NO SENSE
Apparently anyone with common sense and is honest is unelectable in AmeriKa. Keep voting for what the media tell you to and you will get what you deserve.....more Wars , joblessness and increased Dept. This Nation is going down the tubes thanks to brain dead zombies like yourself.
You do not get it. The 9-9-9 plan is a MASSIVE tax cut for the wealthy. Yes, it's a tax cut for others too, but not to the same extent. No self-respecting individual is going to accept it. And the Pizza place was run so well. The only reason he's even being considered as a candidate is so the right can say their candidate is blacker than yours!
The politics of this Nation are more at the core of what's wrong than any party or candidate. From the moment they're elected, politicians are on the campaign trail. As much as Dr. Paul speaks to changing the way things are done, and he does sound convincing, he would likely fall prey to the business as usual as has befallen all politicians. John Huntsman sounds like a very rational and intelligent candidate to me, he would be at least on an intellectual par with President Obama, and his foreign policy experience invaluable. I have yet to hear divisive, vitriolic rhetoric from him, not tearing down the President, offering his ideas...
Do you have any idea who Ron Paul is? The guy has never flip flopped on his constitutional ideology in over 30 years of politics. If he gets into office and goes business as usual we as a nation have no hope.
Newt is the junyard dog of the republican party. He has been nothing but devisive his entire career. He also cheated on his wife when she had cancer. Newt left Washington in disgrace. Why does anybody want him back? Good ridance to bad rubbish I say.
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